There’s definitely an argument to be made that the Mid-County cities were suburbs before suburbs were cool. PN-G benefitted quite a bit from families moving out of Port Arthur. And teachers, for that matter; some of the best PN-G teachers I had from 2007 to 2011 started their careers at TJ in the ‘60s, ‘70s and ‘80s.
With respect to the broader economic and social issues, I’m not ready to write off the Golden Triangle wholesale just yet. Groves and Nederland managed to show population growth on the 2020 census slightly above the national average. Port Neches was right below it. Proportionally speaking, Bridge City and Lumberton showed very strong growth (though the raw numbers were on par with Mid-County), and Port Arthur showed appreciable growth. All of those areas have new housing additions going up. The Trump years were the most prosperous Southeast Texas has seen in decades; 2019 saw Jefferson County’s unemployment rate drop below 5% for the first time at least since the Department of Labor started measuring the statistic in the ‘60s. It was also the first year in my lifetime that I could drive down Port Neches Avenue and see nearly every storefront occupied.
The state demographer’s office will tell you Jefferson County is itself expected to become a Houston suburb by 2050. That may sound absurd, but Mont Belvieu becoming a suburb sounded absurd twenty years ago. I take the points about the refineries employing fewer people and contracting out to heart, but I also recognize that there’s tremendous long term economic potential in Jefferson County between the port expansion currently underway and the future of the American natural gas industry. I also expect, in the near future, to see the Golden Triangle return to statewide political relevance for the first time in thirty years. We just have to finally reach the post-COVID era, and elect a presidential administration run by people who don’t hate rural Americans and the oil and gas industry.
If you want to talk about the real problems in Southeast Texas right now, let’s talk about Beaumont. But that’s a conversation for another time.